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		"body": "<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-1f68e65d-7fff-c439-85a1-8f68b6e363c1\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国中文网张心纽约报道 今天下午，在新任联储主席沃什首次主持的议息会议上，联储以一致投票决定维持基准利率不变，目标区间仍为3.5%至3.75%。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">这个决定本身符合市场预期，但最新公布的点阵图引发了波动。在19位联储官员中，有9人预计今年年底前至少需要加息一次，其中6位甚至预计将加息两次；而在3月份，还没有任何官员预计今年会加息。与此同时，预计降息的官员从3月时的12人骤降至1人。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-8c497a6a-7fff-dcf7-71a4-dd17989c9a40\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">令市场感到更不确定的是，沃什本人没有提交利率预测，这打破了以往联储主席参与点阵图预测的惯例，也让投资者难以判断新主席对利率路径的真实倾向。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">与此同时，沃什还宣布将成立五个工作组，分别聚焦联储对外沟通、资产负债表管理、数据来源依赖、生产率与就业，以及通胀框架等关键议题。这意味着，联储内部的政策制定和沟通机制可能将迎来一轮系统性的改革。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">此外，沃什还对联储的政策声明进行了修改，在这份“更短、更简单”的新版声明中，联储并没有直接暗示下一步的政策方向，而是强调“委员会将会实现物价稳定。”<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">分析人士指出，虽然联储今天没有加息，但点阵图释放出的信号已经足够鹰派。当前，通胀压力仍然存在，而劳动力市场又没有明显的恶化，这使得联储很难转向宽松政策。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">目前，市场交易员已经完全计入年内加息25个基点的预期，并将首次加息的时间从12月提前至10月。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-0cf81bea-7fff-0f77-c1b6-36ac8da56d27\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美股也在联储鹰派声明公布后由涨转跌，跌幅在沃什讲话后进一步加深。当天早些时候，道指一度连续第三个交易日创下盘中历史纪录。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">截至收盘，道指下跌超过500点；标普500指数下跌1.21%；以科技股为主的纳指下跌1.35%。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">大型科技股成为拖累大盘的主要力量。微软、Meta、Alphabet和亚马逊均收跌。SpaceX也自上周五上市以来首次录得下跌。不过，英特尔、美光科技等芯片股上涨，帮助大盘部分收窄跌幅。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">除了<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">沃什上任后的首秀 <\/span><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">，投资者也在继续评估美国与伊朗临时停火协议的可持续性，尤其是霍尔木兹海峡航运能否迅速恢复。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">在总统川普当天发出，如果他对协议结果不满，可能恢复轰炸的威胁后，原油价格当天小幅反弹。<\/span><\/p><\/span><br class=\"Apple-interchange-newline\"><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "美国中文网张心纽约报道 今天下午，在新任联储主席沃什首次主持的议息会议上，联储以一致投票决定维持基准利率不变，目标区间仍为3.5%至3.75%。 这个决定本身符合市场预期，但最新公布的点阵图引发了波动。在19位联储官员中，有9人预计今年年底前至少需要加息一次，其中6位甚至预计将加息两次；而在3月份，还没有任何官员预计今年会加息。与此同时，预计降息的官员从3月时的12人骤降至1人。 令市场感到更不确定的是，沃什本人没有提交利率预测，这打破了以往联储主席参与点阵图预测的惯例，也让投资者难以判断新主席对利率路径的真实倾向。 与此同时，沃什还宣布将成立五个工作组，分别聚焦联储对外沟通、资产负债表管理、数据来源依赖、生产率与就业，以及通胀框架等关键议题。这意味着，联储内部的政策制定和沟通机制可能将迎来一轮系统性的改革。 此外，沃什还对联储的政策声明进行了修改，在这份“更短、更简单”的新版声明中，联储并没有直接暗示下一步的政策方向，而是强调“委员会将会实现物价稳定。” 分析人士指出，虽然联储今天没有加息，但点阵图释放出的信号已经足够鹰派。当前，通胀压力仍然存在，而劳动力市场又没有明显的恶化，这使得联储很难转向宽松政策。 目前，市场交易员已经完全计入年内加息25个基点的预期，并将首次加息的时间从12月提前至10月。 美股也在联储鹰派声明公布后由涨转跌，跌幅在沃什讲话后进一步加深。当天早些时候，道指一度连续第三个交易日创下盘中历史纪录。 截至收盘，道指下跌超过500点；标普500指数下跌1.21%；以科技股为主的纳指下跌1.35%。 大型科技股成为拖累大盘的主要力量。微软、Meta、Alphabet和亚马逊均收跌。SpaceX也自上周五上市以来首次录得下跌。不过，英特尔、美光科技等芯片股上涨，帮助大盘部分收窄跌幅。 除了沃什上任后的首秀 ，投资者也在继续评估美国与伊朗临时停火协议的可持续性，尤其是霍尔木兹海峡航运能否迅速恢复。 在总统川普当天发出，如果他对协议结果不满，可能恢复轰炸的威胁后，原油价格当天小幅反弹。"
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		"body": "总统川普周三表示，他将暂缓向参议院提交联邦检察官杰伊·克莱顿（Jay Clayton）出任国家情报总监的提名，以迫使国会推动一项目前支持不足、旨在加强选民资格审查的《拯救美国法案》。这一决定，也使得美国情报体系未来的领导层更加充满不确定性。<script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "总统川普周三表示，他将暂缓向参议院提交联邦检察官杰伊·克莱顿（Jay Clayton）出任国家情报总监的提名，以迫使国会推动一项目前支持不足、旨在加强选民资格审查的《拯救美国法案》。这一决定，也使得美国情报体系未来的领导层更加充满不确定性。"
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		"body": "在七国集团（G7）峰会结束后，法国总统马克龙周三晚在凡尔赛宫设宴款待美国总统川普。分析认为，这场晚宴不仅被视为法美友谊的象征，也凸显马克龙近年来善于运用法国历史文化资源开展外交。<script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "在七国集团（G7）峰会结束后，法国总统马克龙周三晚在凡尔赛宫设宴款待美国总统川普。分析认为，这场晚宴不仅被视为法美友谊的象征，也凸显马克龙近年来善于运用法国历史文化资源开展外交。"
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		"body": "<p>在经历数日的保密之后，美国高级官员周三以匿名方式向记者口述了美伊谅解备忘录的内容。而总统川普则在今天出席七国集团领导人峰会期间表示，如果他对协议结果不满意，美国可能恢复对伊朗的轰炸行动。<\/p><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "在经历数日的保密之后，美国高级官员周三以匿名方式向记者口述了美伊谅解备忘录的内容。而总统川普则在今天出席七国集团领导人峰会期间表示，如果他对协议结果不满意，美国可能恢复对伊朗的轰炸行动。"
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		"body": "<p>得州南部城市拉雷多周二晚发生一起飞机坠毁事故。一架小型商务飞机在高速公路上坠毁后起火，造成机上1人死亡，5人受伤。事发时，机上共有6人，飞机正从墨西哥飞往得州奥斯汀。事故发生后，多名路人和执法人员展开救援，协助机上人员逃生。目前，事故原因仍在调查中。<\/p><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "得州南部城市拉雷多周二晚发生一起飞机坠毁事故。一架小型商务飞机在高速公路上坠毁后起火，造成机上1人死亡，5人受伤。事发时，机上共有6人，飞机正从墨西哥飞往得州奥斯汀。事故发生后，多名路人和执法人员展开救援，协助机上人员逃生。目前，事故原因仍在调查中。"
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		"body": "<p>尽管油价处于高位、出行成本增加，美国民众的出游热情依然高涨。美国汽车协会AAA周三预测，今年的独立日假期期间，将有7220万美国人出行至少50英里，人数有望刷新历史纪录。其中，驾车仍是最主要的出行方式，预计超过6100万人将选择自驾出游。AAA同时提醒，假期期间道路拥堵和酒驾风险上升，民众出行前应做好车辆检查，并提前规划路线。<\/p><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
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		"body": "<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-061d18f0-7fff-6139-5783-bdf7cb16a847\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国中文网张心纽约报道 今天，美国股市从前一交易日的强劲反弹中有所降温，三大股指走势分化。截至收盘，道指上涨0.64%，再创历史新高；不过，标普500指数下跌近0.6%，以科技股为主的纳指则下跌1.15%。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">今天拖累美股的主要是芯片板块。美光科技、英伟达、AMD、博通、英特尔等热门芯片股集体走低。此前，人工智能和芯片股持续领涨市场，但在股价快速上行之后，部分投资者开始选择兑现利润，也使科技股面临短线回调压力。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">与此形成对比的是，工业和金融板块明显走强。油价继续回落，缓解了市场对企业成本和消费者压力的担忧。国际基准布伦特原油跌至每桶80美元附近，为3月以来首次；美国基准原油也回落至每桶75美元左右。<\/span><\/p><\/span><p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-28557e9d-7fff-77cc-c13d-0100a99dd8e1\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">个股方面，SpaceX仍然是今天市场焦点。公司股价早盘一度大涨17%，随后涨幅收窄，但仍延续上市后的强劲表现。盘中，SpaceX市值超越亚马逊，跻身全球市值前五，并一度接近、甚至短暂超过微软。不过，随着股价冲高回落，收盘后更明确的是，SpaceX仍以微弱优势超过亚马逊。推动股价走强的另一项消息是，公司宣布将以600亿美元收购AI编程初创公司Cursor，进一步强化了市场对其太空科技与人工智能布局的想象空间。<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-2e1ecffb-7fff-93eb-64f1-31cb0c3a1e6e\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">全球央行政策也成为市场焦点，日本央行当天加息25个基点，将政策利率升至1995年以来最高水平。本周晚些时候，英国央行、瑞士央行和美联储也将公布利率决定，市场预计三者都将维持利率不变。<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-2e1ecffb-7fff-93eb-64f1-31cb0c3a1e6e\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">其中，美联储已经开始6月议息会议，明天的利率决定尤其受到关注。这也是凯文·沃什出任联储主席后的首次会议。虽然市场普遍预计本次按兵不动，但华尔街认为，最新“点阵图”可能显示，联储今年的政策路径将进一步偏向加息。<\/span><\/span><\/p><br class=\"Apple-interchange-newline\"><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "美国中文网张心纽约报道 今天，美国股市从前一交易日的强劲反弹中有所降温，三大股指走势分化。截至收盘，道指上涨0.64%，再创历史新高；不过，标普500指数下跌近0.6%，以科技股为主的纳指则下跌1.15%。 今天拖累美股的主要是芯片板块。美光科技、英伟达、AMD、博通、英特尔等热门芯片股集体走低。此前，人工智能和芯片股持续领涨市场，但在股价快速上行之后，部分投资者开始选择兑现利润，也使科技股面临短线回调压力。 与此形成对比的是，工业和金融板块明显走强。油价继续回落，缓解了市场对企业成本和消费者压力的担忧。国际基准布伦特原油跌至每桶80美元附近，为3月以来首次；美国基准原油也回落至每桶75美元左右。 个股方面，SpaceX仍然是今天市场焦点。公司股价早盘一度大涨17%，随后涨幅收窄，但仍延续上市后的强劲表现。盘中，SpaceX市值超越亚马逊，跻身全球市值前五，并一度接近、甚至短暂超过微软。不过，随着股价冲高回落，收盘后更明确的是，SpaceX仍以微弱优势超过亚马逊。推动股价走强的另一项消息是，公司宣布将以600亿美元收购AI编程初创公司Cursor，进一步强化了市场对其太空科技与人工智能布局的想象空间。 全球央行政策也成为市场焦点，日本央行当天加息25个基点，将政策利率升至1995年以来最高水平。本周晚些时候，英国央行、瑞士央行和美联储也将公布利率决定，市场预计三者都将维持利率不变。 其中，美联储已经开始6月议息会议，明天的利率决定尤其受到关注。这也是凯文·沃什出任联储主席后的首次会议。虽然市场普遍预计本次按兵不动，但华尔街认为，最新“点阵图”可能显示，联储今年的政策路径将进一步偏向加息。"
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		"body": "<p>上周日在白宫举行的“UFC America 250”格斗赛事，现场聚集了约4300名观众。不过，FBI局长帕特尔周二表示，执法部门已成功挫败一起针对该赛事的袭击阴谋。根据目前披露的信息，涉案团伙疑似计划利用携带爆炸物的无人机制造袭击，并在现场人群恐慌疏散时实施进一步攻击。目前，已有五名涉案人员被拘留，相关调查仍在推进。<\/p><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
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		"body": "<p>在多家媒体报道称伊朗可能从美伊协议中获得最高3000亿美元重建资金后，正在法国出席七国集团领导人峰会的总统川普今天否认了相关报道，并强调美国不会向伊朗投入任何资金。而对于欧洲盟友同样关注的俄乌问题，川普则在与泽伦斯基会面后表示，他将尽自己所能结束这场已持续超过四年的战争。<\/p><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
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      "body": "<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-3f20f343-7fff-c8e0-efbe-b1bde46a745d\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国中文网张心纽约报道 美股今天经历了惊心动魄的一天。尽管三大股指连续第二个交易日收跌，但尾盘的强力拉升成功收复了早盘的大部分失地。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">标普500指数与纳指今天最终分别收跌0.27%和0.28%，道指下跌约203点。而在盘中最惨淡的时刻，道指一度跌幅超过1%，纳指的最大跌幅更是达到了1.4%。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-1d9422af-7fff-e0c1-d3c7-661eb638fc2f\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">市场情绪在午后的戏剧性逆转，很大程度上归功于华盛顿与中东前线传来的积极信号。早前，由于伊朗与以色列互相攻击彼此核心油气设施，国际原油一度狂飙10%，布伦特原油直冲每桶119美元的高位，令华尔街陷入恐慌。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">然而，随着以色列总理内塔尼亚胡发表关键讲话，称以色列正协助美国重新开放霍尔木兹海峡，并预言战争结束将比预想中更早，原油价格应声回落。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-9bf84058-7fff-f6c7-7f8a-2bb741a976e0\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">与此同时，美国财政部长贝森特也释法出缓解石油供应的信号。他不仅表示正考虑解除对海上停留的1.4亿桶伊朗原油的长期制裁，以向现货市场注入急需的流动性，还授权了部分俄罗斯原油的交付与销售。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-2f5293e9-7fff-0d32-cad6-bf42829db4d9\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">而面对持续冲突引发的全球能源供应链乱局，全球央行正进入集体观望。欧盟、英国、日本、瑞士等主要央行今天步调一致，追随美联储“静观其变”的策略，宣布维持利率不变。在这一轮冲突中，由于对中东能源的依赖，欧洲显然伤得更深，欧洲斯托克600指数自开战以来已重挫7.6%，跌幅几乎是美股的两倍。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-fb67ca96-7fff-24f8-84e1-89076a04b4a6\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">对于今天美股尾盘的反弹，摩根大通策略师布哈斯态度谨慎。他警告，那些赌战争会迅速解决的‘盲目乐观者’正在进行一场极高风险的博弈。瑞银也指出，尽管避免毁灭性后果尚有一线生机，但最近的冲突无疑收窄了这条路径，波动性仍将是未来的主旋律。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">此外，明天市场将迎来所谓的“三巫日”。根据花旗银行的数据，约有价值5.7万亿美元的期权头寸将在明天集中到期。这种海量头寸的调仓，叠加地缘局势的瞬息万变，极有可能在开盘后掀起巨浪。<\/span><\/p><\/span><br class=\"Apple-interchange-newline\"><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>"
          
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